Can Kamala Harris beat Donald Trump? Latest poll updates

In less than 40 days, Vice President Kamala Harris will go head-to-head with Donald Trump as Americans cast their votes in the 2024 election.

A new set of polls show Harris ahead overall in the swing states, with improved standing in Arizona, Pennsylvania and Nevada, but a shrinking lead in Wisconsin.

Though Harris is leading among young people, one in six have still not committed to voting at all in November.

The candidates are preparing for an intense final stretch of the campaign, with the needle ready to swing either way. So how will Harris and Trump fare in November?

Harris has a 2.9-point lead over Trump in the latest average of national polls, collated by FiveThirtyEight. On average, Harris has been marginally ahead of Trump in national polls.

Fresh polls from the swing states by Bloomberg/Morning Consult have Harris ahead by +3 points on average, ranging from neck-in-neck with Trump to a +7 point lead.

The poll of over 6,000 registered voters in the swing states was conducted from September 19-25, with margins of error ranging from 1 to 4 percent in each state.

In Pennsylvania, which hosted the first Harris-Trump presidential debate, Harris has seen her lead increase from +4 points to +5 points since August.

The state had previously been leaning towards Trump when Biden was on the ticket.

In Nevada, Harris has the strongest 7-point lead over Trump, with 52 percent of the vote to 45 percent.

In Georgia, the two candidates are tied at 49 percent each, while Harris’s 5-point lead in Wisconsin has shrunk to 3 points ahead of Trump.

Harris is also 3 points ahead in Michigan and Arizona, and 2 points ahead in North Carolina.

While the economy remains the top issue for swing state voters, the perceived “competency