Pollster Nate Silver predicts Trump poised to win Electoral College amid 'mediocre' Harris polling
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Prominent elections analyst and statistician Nate Silver said Wednesday that former President Trump is now electorally favored to defeat Kamala Harris in November by the widest margin in months.
Silver released his latest election forecast, writing on his Substack, "The forecast is still in toss-up range, but Trump’s chances of winning are his highest since July 30," Silver wrote.
Silver's nuanced election forecast model shows Trump's chances of winning the Electoral College have increased from 52.4% to 58.2% since last Thursday. Harris' odds meanwhile, have decreased from 47.3% to 41.6%.
He also noted that Harris seemingly didn't benefit from a DNC bounce as much as election models had predicted.
NATE SILVER REVEALS THE ONE BATTLEGROUND STATE THAT COULD SPELL TROUBLE FOR KAMALA HARRIS
"There's room to debate the convention bounce stuff, but Harris has been getting a lot of mediocre state polls lately," Silver wrote.
Last week, Silver warned that Harris was poised to be a "slight underdog" in Pennsylvania,whose 19 electoral votes are expected to play a significant part in determining the outcome of the presidential election.
TRUMP AND HARRIS IN TOSS-UP RACES IN KEY SWING STATES PENNSYLVANIA, GEORGIA, NEVADA: POLL
On Wednesday, the polling guru delivered more bad news for the Harris campaign,
writing on X that Michigan could present an "issue" for Harris after