How can BJP+ achieve 400-seat target? Top pollster Pradeep Gupta explains ahead of the third phase of polling tomorrow

Voting for more than half of 543 Lok Sabha seats will be completed with the conclusion of the by the evening of May 7. The remaining four phases are scheduled to be held on May 13, May 20, May 25 and June 1. The results of the seven-phase Lok Sabha Elections 2024 will be declared on June 4.

Ahead of the third phase polling scheduled for May 7, renowned pollster and Managing Director of consumer data intelligence firm, Axis My India, Pradeep Gupta believes that the elections have proceeded as anticipated. 

In an interview with LiveMint, Gupta talks about the election campaign, the Modi factor, Rahul Gandhi, voter turnout and how the (BJP) and its allies can achieve the 400 seats target in Lok Sabha Elections 2024. 

This election is no different. The incumbent, the government, will discuss claims and how they changed people’s lives. The challengers ( bloc) has no option but to make promises. And based on these two things, people vote.

Over 90 percent of the time, people evaluate the incumbents based on their track record, as has been the case in the phases so far. The of polling mostly covered Southern India – Tamil Nadu, Kerala Karnataka. Some smaller states, north eastern states have also been covered. 

In the third phase, 25 seats of Gujarat, 10 seats of UP, 14 seats of Karnataka, and some seats in Maharashtra and Hyderabad region will vote. In all these seats, the political parties have kept in mind a particular caste group and demography during the campaign.  

It is very difficult to gauge the outcome based on these phases. But yes, it is, by and large, on expected lines. 

The , we know has a solid machinery and puts all its efforts in electioneering.  The political campaign depends on demography. That is what we saw