Democrats Bullish On Chances For House Takeover A Month Out From Election Day

House Democrats, who have provided key votes to keep the government open and on other big issues even as a fractured Republican majority controlled the chamber, are feeling increasingly confident they’ll win back the majority in November.

And at 30 days before Election Day, a new Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee strategy memo obtained by HuffPost gives them more reasons to feel that way, including seeing an edge for the average Democratic candidate over their opponent in competitive district races’ polling.

“Democrats in Frontline and In Play districts are ahead by two points in the named head-to-head against their Republican opponent,” according to the two-page memo, referring to a group of 67 expected-to-be-close races the DCCC is watching closely.

“House Democrats have the candidates, message, money, and mobilization efforts to connect with voters, and the DCCC is confident that we will build on this momentum in the closing weeks to win in November,” the memo said.

Though each party likes to tout its chances as the days to Nov. 5 dwindle, the memo added to some other good news for Democrats. The respected Cook Political Report said Friday it was shifting its assessments of five House races — two in Iowa and one each in Indiana, Illinois and Montana — toward Democrats.

The current makeup of the House includes 220 Republicans, which would leave the party only a two-vote cushion in a full 435-member chamber. The average swing in House elections is well above three seats, but in which direction it will go in November is unclear. House Republicans have largely pinned their hopes on former President Donald Trump winning the White House again and pulling them over the finish line to keep control of the House.