Small Shift Toward Biden After Trump Verdict
It’s one of the biggest questions in the wake of Donald J. Trump’s conviction: Did the verdict change anyone’s mind?
Nate Cohn in political news
Searching for Clues in the Polls About a Trump Conviction
For almost a decade, Donald J. Trump has done, said and survived things that would have doomed any other politician.
Perhaps Lost in the Polling: The Race Is Still Close
There’s no way around it: The news for President Biden hasn’t been great.
The Shaky Foundation of Trump’s Lead: Disengaged Voters
The polls have shown Donald J. Trump with an edge for eight straight months, but there’s one big flashing warning sign suggesting that his advantage might not be quite as stable as it looks.
R.F.K. Jr. Isn’t a Spoiler Now, Poll Suggests, but He Could Be in November
When Robert F. Kennedy Jr., the Democrat-turned-independent candidate, announced his run for president, it was reasonable to think he might be a possible spoiler — a candidate who drew voters away from President Biden and could help elect Donald J. Trump.
Battleground Polling Shows Ticket- Splitting Pattern
This morning, we have a new set of polls for you in the battleground states, including New York Times/Siena College polls of Michigan, Wisconsin, Georgia, Nevada, Arizona and the inaugural Times/Philadelphia Inquirer/Siena poll in Pennsylvania.
Trump Leads in 5 Key States, as Young and Nonwhite Voters Express Discontent With Biden
Donald J. Trump leads President Biden in five crucial battleground states, a new set of polls shows, as a yearning for change and discontent over the economy and the war in Gaza among young, Black and Hispanic voters threaten to unravel the president’s Democratic coalition.
Just What Kind of a Third-Party Candidate Is R.F.K. Jr.?
With six months to go until the election, it’s still too early to judge whether Robert F. Kennedy Jr., the Democrat-turned-independent candidate for president, will prove to be more than a mere spoiler.