Methodology: How The Times Calculates 2024 Polling Averages
The idea behind a poll average is simple: Just average the most recent polls together.
Nate Cohn in political news
Outlier Poll Results Are Inevitable. They’re Also Sometimes Right.
This afternoon’s New York Times/Siena College poll doesn’t look much like other polls.
Introducing Our 2024 Poll Tracker
What do the polls say about the race for the White House?
Small Shift Toward Biden After Trump Verdict
It’s one of the biggest questions in the wake of Donald J. Trump’s conviction: Did the verdict change anyone’s mind?
Searching for Clues in the Polls About a Trump Conviction
For almost a decade, Donald J. Trump has done, said and survived things that would have doomed any other politician.
Perhaps Lost in the Polling: The Race Is Still Close
There’s no way around it: The news for President Biden hasn’t been great.
The Shaky Foundation of Trump’s Lead: Disengaged Voters
The polls have shown Donald J. Trump with an edge for eight straight months, but there’s one big flashing warning sign suggesting that his advantage might not be quite as stable as it looks.
R.F.K. Jr. Isn’t a Spoiler Now, Poll Suggests, but He Could Be in November
When Robert F. Kennedy Jr., the Democrat-turned-independent candidate, announced his run for president, it was reasonable to think he might be a possible spoiler — a candidate who drew voters away from President Biden and could help elect Donald J. Trump.