U.S. Election Is Top Global Risk For 2024 Regardless Of Outcome, Report Predicts

The U.S. presidential election poses the No. 1 risk to the world in 2024 no matter who wins it, according to a political risk consultancy firm’s annual report.

The Eurasia Group released its Top Risks for 2024 report on Monday. Atop the list was “The United States vs. Itself.”

“The US presidential election will worsen the country’s political division, testing American democracy to a degree the nation hasn’t experienced in 150 years and undermining US credibility on the global stage,” the report said.

“The US political system is remarkably divided, and its legitimacy and functionality have eroded accordingly. Public trust in core institutions — such as Congress, the judiciary, and the media — is at historic lows; polarization and partisanship are at historic highs.”

The report highlighted concerns among Americans about President Joe Biden and his likely Republican rival, former President Donald Trump.

Trump, it noted, faces dozens of felony criminal charges, including those connected to his actions while in office and his attempt to overturn the 2020 election.

“In any stable, well-functioning democracy, the 2024 contest would be principally about those,” the report said. “The United States is presently far from that. On the other side of the aisle, President Joe Biden would be 86 years old at the end of his second term. The vast majority of Americans want neither to lead the nation.”

The Eurasia Group also predicted that Trump, knowing he could face prison if he loses, will “use his online pulpit, control of the Republican Party, and friendly media to delegitimize both the system that is prosecuting him and the integrity of the election.”

That will place pressure on Republican officials to manage elections in a way that