Senate Democrats Up For Reelection Are Doing Well. It Might Not Be Enough To Win A Majority.

Senate Democrats facing reelection this year are running strong in every single presidential battleground state, but it still might not be enough to maintain the party’s hold on the upper chamber next year.

What once looked like a brutal map for Democrats ― with half a dozen vulnerable incumbents in the Senate, hindered by an unpopular Democratic president in the White House ― now appears to be less so, according to new polling from The Cook Political Report.

In Pennsylvania, Sen. Bob Casey leads wealthy businessman Dave McCormick 53% to 40%. In Wisconsin, Sen. Tammy Baldwin leads entrepreneur Eric Hovde 50% to 43%. And in Nevada, Sen. Jacky Rosen leads veteran Sam Brown by a whopping 18 percentage points.

Democrats are also faring well in races for two open Senate seats. In Arizona, Rep. Ruben Gallego is leading Republican election denier Kari Lake 51% to 42%. In Michigan, Rep. Elissa Slotkin tops former House GOP Rep. Mike Rogers 50% to 42%.

The renewed enthusiasm for Vice President Kamala Harris, who replaced President Joe Biden on the Democratic presidential ticket last month, is helping boost not only her campaign against former President Donald Trump but down-ballot candidates as well. Democrats improved their vote share in every race since Cook last conducted polls on the presidential battlegrounds in May.

“The surge has been particularly large in Nevada, which had been one of Biden’s worst states,” Cook’s Jessica Taylor wrote on Thursday.

However, polling averages show very tight races in most of these states, Election Day is still nearly three months away, and the risk of polling error can’t be discounted in some areas, as evidenced in previous elections.

The big problem for Democrats is that, unless they expand