‘Nostradamus’ pollster reveals who won VP debate between Walz and Vance
Allan Lichtman, the pollster dubbed the “Nostradamus of presidential predictions”, has delivered his verdict on last night’s vice presidential debate.
Speaking on a YouTube livestream, the 77-year-old described JD Vance as “very personable” and “slick” but concluded Tim Walz “finally found his voice” on a key issue, which then tipped the debate in the Democrat’s favor.
Lichtman, who has correctly predicted the result of nine out of 10 presidential elections since 1984, said that Walz came into his own when the moderators questioned the candidates about abortion.
“I thought it was kind of bipolar debate,” he said.
“The first 20 minutes I thought Vance had a slight edge… Walz looked a little bit nervous, he looked a little bit rattled even on a couple of issues that should have been very good for Democrats.
“But there was then a tipping point in this debate, a trigger, and that’s when they got to reproductive freedom. Finally, Tim Walz found his voice and was very persuasive and very eloquent about reproductive freedom for women,” Lichtman said.
By contrast, he said that he “couldn’t fathom”what Vance’s position on the issue was.
The historian graded Vance a C minus and awarded Walz a B for their debate performances, though he found Walz’s running mate Kamala Harris to be more impressive in the debate against Donald Trump on September 10.
“It wasn’t a wipeout like I thought Harris had wiped out Trump,” he said.
Lichtman has already called November’s election for Harris in a video forThe New York Times last month. “At least, that’s my prediction for this race, but the outcome is up to you, so get out and vote,” he said.
Lichtman’s method for forecasting the race is known as “The Keys to the White House”, a system he