North Carolina’s congressional delegation headed for a shake-up with 5 open seats and party shifts

Tuesday’s primaries mark the start of what will likely be an exceptional change in the composition of the U.S. House delegation in North Carolina.

In anticipation of this year’s election, the Republican-controlled General Assembly redrew districts drawn by judges two years before. Based on past election results, the changes seem likely to transform a delegation now comprising seven Democrats and seven Republicans to one with 10 Republicans and four Democrats.

In the wake of the redistricting changes, five of the 14 incumbents are not running for another term. Democratic Reps. Jeff Jackson, Kathy Manning and Wiley Nickel decided to forgo reelection bids in districts that are now much more heavily tilted toward Republicans. Republican Reps. Dan Bishop and Patrick McHenry are stepping aside for unrelated reasons.

SEATS THAT ARE LIKELY TO FLIP

Two of the seats likely to flip from Democratic to Republican have attracted large fields of candidates. A third appears poised to send North Carolina House Speaker Tim Moore to Washington.

Moore’s Republican colleagues in the General Assembly redrew the 14th District in a way that seems to ensure the Kings Mountain lawyer will get his wish to serve in Congress. Moore is leaving the state Legislature after 21 years.

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