Morning Glory: Will Democrats trade in Biden for a newer model in Chicago?

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"US election: Donald Trump 7/4 favourite for White House return."

That was the headline at the United Kingdom’s Ladbrokes’ betting emporium —in July of last year! I have to think the line there is moving in Donald Trump’s favor every week. President Joe Biden isn’t exactly a "dead candidate walking"—he was a 2:1 bet in the same bookie forum at the same time—but between the Wall Street Journal and Fox News polls this week, you have to love 45’s odds over 46.

I think Trump enters "mortal lock" territory if he picks a "normie Republican" as his running mate. People simply don’t vote for the second name on the ticket, but they do factor it in, especially when the contrast will be with Vice President Harris. If Trump picks Senator Tom Cotton, Senator Joni Ernst or former Secretary of State Mike Pompeo—all veterans, all disciplined campaigners and serious voices on national security—I think Trump can order the drapes for the Oval the second time. Give the establishment GOP, the RINOs, the independents and even the old school Democrats who believed in national defense something to cling to and Trump wins most of them. These three are all conservative but they are conservatives with whom most "normies" are very comfortable.

The issues are set and they favor Trump. An easy way to remember them is with the mnemonic AABCDEII: Afghanistan and appeasement, border, crime, "DEI" and inflation. You could add another "E" for "education" and make it AABCDEEII, but some folks remain queasy over "school choice."

I don’t. "Choice" is established and working in Arizona, Iowa, Ohio, Florida and elsewhere, but is still blocked in Texas. I think "school choice" is a winner with parents, but haven’t heard