In exit poll good news for BJP, the best tidings are from South

WHILE OVERALL the exit polls paint a positive picture for the BJP-led NDA, the party will be particularly happy if the predictions hold true for the South.

As per the exit polls, the BJP, which has been trying to make inroads into the South, is set to put up a strong performance in Karnataka and Andhra Pradesh, and make notable gains in Telangana and Tamil Nadu. Kerala, however, will remain a UDF stronghold, even as the BJP will make its presence felt as per the exit polls, and pick up two seats (it has never won a Lok Sabha election in Kerala).

In 2019, the UDF had won 19 of the 20 seats in Kerala, seen as an effect of Rahul Gandhi contesting from the Wayanad constituency in the state, and the LDF 1.

While overall the exit polls indicate a big lead for the DMK-led INDIA alliance in Tamil Nadu, giving it 33-39 seats out of the total 39 – which was anticipated – they give four-odd seats to the BJP. The national party had not won a single seat in Tamil Nadu in the 2019 Lok Sabha polls, which had been swept by the DMK alliance with 38 of 39 seats.

A result along these lines would be an affirmation of the leadership of the BJP’s combative state chief K Annamalai. It would also imply that the BJP has made gains at the expense of the AIADMK, which has been struggling with internal divide.

Karnataka could hold a surprise if the BJP repeats its 2019 dominance, when it won 27 of the 28 seats, given the size of the Congress victory in the state Assembly elections last year. The average of the exit polls suggested 23 seats for the BJP, indicating that the party gained from its alliance with the JD(S) ahead of the polls.

Even Telangana would be a surprise, if the exit polls hold true, given that the BJP has never been a major player here,