Fox News Power Rankings: All eyes could be on Omaha this November

Former President Trump maintains his slight edge in the latest Fox News Power Rankings, which has Trump at 251 electoral college votes to President Biden’s 241.

The forecast continues to see the race coming down to four toss-up states: Pennsylvania, Wisconsin, Arizona, and Nevada.

Four other states, including Michigan, Minnesota, Georgia, and North Carolina are also highly competitive.

But there is a change in one state that could prove essential to a Trump victory.

Polling shows a close and steady race

Trump tops Biden by one point in the latest Fox News survey; a result well within the margin of error.

Most high-quality polling since the last forecast is showing the same result: a one or two point lead, either for Biden or Trump, within each poll’s margin of error.

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It is too early to tell whether Trump’s conviction in a criminal trial over falsified business records will impact this race, though polling conducted by Marist in the week before the verdict suggests that it will not.

Trump is leading in the battleground states, and especially the closest Sun Belt states (Arizona, Georgia, and Nevada), with mid to high single-digit margins.

The race is closer in the Rust Belt states (Michigan, Pennsylvania, and Wisconsin), where Trump’s leads are usually within one or two points.

Robert F. Kennedy Jr is still a wild card in this race. He received support from 17% of registered voters in a Marquette survey two weeks ago.

He pulls roughly the same amount of support from both sides in most polls, though Republican voters tend to view him more favorably.

Why Trump could win

Trump’s consistent leads are good news for the former president’s campaign.

He is making significant inroads