Dire Tory Polling Intensifies Right-Wing Pressure On Rishi Sunak Over Rwanda

An explosive new YouGov poll predicting a Labour general election landslide has been viewed as a move by the Tory right to enhance pressure on Prime Minister Rishi Sunak to take a more hardline approach to deporting migrants to Rwanda when legislation returns to the House of Commons votes this week. 

The polling, published by The Telegraph on Sunday night, said Labour would win a 120-seat House of Commons majority based on current public opinion, in what would amount to the biggest drop in support for a governing party in well over 100 years.

The poll is what is known as a multilevel regression and poststratification (MRP) poll, which is generally regarded as one of the most accurate means of estimating public opinion. This sort of survey typically takes several weeks to put together and is believed to have cost those who commissioned it to YouGov tens of thousands of pounds due to the level of work needed to carry it out.

The survey of over 14,000 people was commissioned by the former Brexit negotiator Lord Frost, who is aligned with the right-wing of the parliamentary Conservative party, and the seemingly new Conservative Britain Alliance. According to The Telegraph the group is comprised of donors to the Tory party, but little else is publicly known about who exactly is involved.

In a piece accompanying the findings, Lord Frost said the prediction of a Tory wipeout showed that Sunak needed, among other things, to "be as tough as it takes on immigration" in order to give the Conservative party any chance of avoiding defeat to Labour at the next general election.

The Telegraph's report claimed the data shows that right-wing party Reform contesting seats nationwide at the next general election, which must be called before the