Could Kamala Harris beat Trump? What the polls say
Vice President Kamala Harris has now been endorsed by President Joe Biden, making it all but guaranteed that she’ll feature on top of the Democratic party ticket and take on Donald Trump in November’s election.
But how would Harris actually fare against Trump?
A recent New York Times/Siena poll, on July 12, showed that Trump just scraped ahead of Biden in national polls, and could win in November.
But when matched up against Harris, the same poll showed the vice president leading Trump by a margin of one point.
The poll, taken before Biden dropped out of the race and before Harris announced she would run, found that Harris performed better against Trump than Biden across all age groups – except for over-65s, who flip towards Trump when Harris is on the ticket.
Young voters in particular were shown to be strong backers of Harris, with the polls showing her taking a 16-point lead over Trump among voters under 30.
A Democratic PAC advertising campaign titled “Kamala Harris for America” is now being launched to target young voters in Michigan, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin after Biden’s announcement.
The “Kamala Harris for America” ad highlights key issues for young voters, such as climate change and abortion rights.
College-educated white voters are slightly more inclined towards Harris than Biden, with both polled to beat Trump by 24 points and 22 points respectively.
However, the possibility of a Kamala Harris candidacy is unpopular among Trump’s key support base — white Americans with no college education — and appears to drive more voters in this group towards the right (+38) than a Biden candidacy (+36).
By all counts, Harris draws in more support from ethnic minority voters, with a 64-point lead against Trump among