Can Kamala Harris beat Donald Trump? Latest poll updates

Vice President Kamala Harris will go head-to-head with Donald Trump in less than a month as Americans cast their votes in the 2024 election.

With just weeks to go, Trump may be losing his grip on older generations of voters, with the latest New York Times polls showing the two candidates split by a hairline; and Harris ahead by 3 points.

In another twist, the presidential race in Florida has seen a tumultuous polling period. With multiple polls showing a dwindling Trump lead with Harris just 2 points behind, the latest NYT poll has reversed expectations, once again putting Trump ahead by a mile.

So how will Harris and Trump fare in November?

The latest average of national polls, collated by FiveThirtyEight, shows Harris with a 2.6-point lead over Trump. On average, Harris has been marginally ahead of Trump in national polls for several weeks.

The latest polls from the New York Times/Siena Collegehave Harris ahead by 3 points, at 49 percent and Trump at 46 percent.

The strongest support group for Harris remains young voters and those from non-white backgrounds. Meanwhile, Trump’s key base are white, non-college voters.

Meanwhile, to the chagrin of the Trump campaign, the poll suggests that older generations of voters are no longer staunchly Republican.

For both Gen X and Boomers, Trump’s lead has significantly diminished over the last few New York Times/Siena College polls.

In fact, the two candidates are effectively tied among both groups; as Trump has just a 1 and 2 point lead, within the +-2.4 margin of error.

While it remains to be seen how this might change in the final stretch, the Republican Party has won over-65s in every election since 2000.

The gender divide between Trump and Harris voters remains strong,