Can Kamala Harris beat Donald Trump? Latest poll updates

Vice President Kamala Harris is making a bid for the White House with running mate Tim Walz after replacing President Joe Biden on the Democratic ticket in July.

With just over two months until Election Day, campaigning is in full swing for both parties, as Harris and Biden stop in Pennsylvania today for Labor Day. So how will Harris actually fare against former president Donald Trump in November?

While independent candidate Robert F Kennedy Jr suspended his presidential campaign in August and endorsed Trump, there has been no clear ripple effect as of yet, with neither candidate receiving a substantial boost in support.

Nor did the Democratic National Convention make a mark on overall polling numbers, with Harris maintaining a steady average lead of 3+ points over Trump — but men and women grow more divided over presidential support.

Harris has a 3.2-point lead over Trump in the latest average of national polls, collated by FiveThirtyEight. On average, Harris has been marginally ahead of Trump in national polls, though the race remains tight with variation in swing states.

A new ABC News/Ipsos poll shows that the American public thinks that Harris is doing a better job on her campaign overall, while Trump is in the red.

The poll, undertaken up to 27 August, also shows that a third of Trump supporters (31 per cent)have reservations about their choice.

This is nearly double the amount of people who support Harris with reservations (18 per cent).

Harris appears to have improved conviction among Democrat supporters, as the same poll in July found that 34 per cent of Biden supporters had reservations about his candidacy.

In July, just 34 per cent of Biden voters strongly supported his candidacy, compared to 60 per cent who