Biden may be losing his favorability advantage over Trump, new polls suggest

• Four large, new national polls show former President Donald Trump leading President Joe Biden among registered vote
• The same polls show that Trump is also leading the 2024 popularity contest against Biden among voters, a signal that Biden has lost a key feature of his political persona: his likability advantage.

A flurry of new 2024 presidential election polls have a common thread: Republican frontrunner Donald Trump is leading incumbent President Joe Biden in a hypothetical November matchup.

In four separate surveys released over the weekend by The New York Times/Siena College, Fox News, The Wall Street Journal and CBS News/YouGov, Trump's lead ranged from two points to five points among registered voters.

The Fox News and Wall Street Journal surveys both showed Trump with a two point lead over Biden, 49-47 and 47-45, respectively. This was within their 2.5% margins of error.

In the CBS News/YouGov poll, Trump led by four points, 52-48, outside the poll's 2.8% margin of error.

The Times/Siena survey showed a slightly larger lead for Trump of five points, 48-43, also outside the poll's 3.5% error margin.

Taken together, they paint a picture of a race that is extremely tight, but one where Trump's advantage is solidifying.

In addition to the hypothetical matchup lead, the surveys also hinted at a deeper shift in voter perceptions of two men who have been campaigning against one another on and off for the past five years: They suggest Biden may be losing is long-held likability edge over Trump.

Across all four polls, Trump had a higher favorability rating than Biden did with respondents, although some were within the surveys' margins of error.

This was unheard of during the 2020 election cycle, a race in which Biden ran