All eyes on 6 state assembly elections after BJP's muted performance in Lok Sabha Elections: What to expect?

After the Lok Sabha Elections 2024, all eyes are now set on six assembly elections likely to be held between June 2024 and November 2025. Five states – Haryana, Maharashtra, Jharkhand, Delhi and Bihar will hold assembly elections in the next one year. The assembly election in the union territory of Jammu and Kashmir is expected to be held before September 2024.

Two states will be the most keenly watched among these -- Haryana and . The assembly elections in these two states will take place around October this year, just about four months after the Lok Sabha Elections 2024. 

The -led is currently in power in both these states and hence the elections would be crucial as the ruling  dispensation suffered a set back , compared to the 2019 elections.

While the BJP-Shiv Sena-NCP's Mahayuti alliance was jolted by the in Maharashtra, the BJP's seat share dropped to five from the previously held ten in Haryana.

In the upcoming Maharashtra assembly elections, many see the outcome of the Lok Sabha elections impacting the electoral contest. “The outcome will impact the Vidhan Sabha elections in Maharashtra," Nationalist Congress Party stalwart Sharad Pawar was quoted as by Deccan Herald .

However, there is no credible evidence to suggest Lok Sabha election will have a definite impact in the subsequent assembly polls.

In Delhi, for example, the BJP won all seven seats in the 2014 and 2019 Lok Sabha elections during the 2015 and 2020 assembly polls. This year too, the BJP won all seven seats in the Delhi Lok Sabha polls, but uncertainty looms over the 2025 assembly elections. 

The assembly elections in Delhi are likely to be held in February 2025. The AAP has maintained that it will contest the Delhi assembly elections without an alliance