A Majority in Arizona Supports Establishing Right to Abortion, Poll Finds

A majority of likely voters in Arizona said they planned to support an amendment to the state’s Constitution codifying “the fundamental right to an abortion,” according to the latest poll from The New York Times and Siena College.

The poll found that 58 percent of likely voters were in favor of the amendment, putting support above the 50 percent threshold needed to pass. The poll also found former President Donald J. Trump leading Vice President Kamala Harris in the state, 50 percent to 45 percent.

The amendment, Proposition 139, would establish a fundamental right to abortion and prohibit the state from restricting or banning abortion before viability — the point at which a fetus can survive outside the uterus, generally around 24 weeks of pregnancy.

A little over one-third of voters in the state said they intended to vote no on the amendment.

The results are in line with recent polling in the state suggesting the ballot measure is likely to pass the threshold for support.

The amendment’s supporters see it as an important step to secure abortion access. Opponents say it goes too far by allowing abortions up until around 24 weeks of pregnancy. Arizona law currently allows abortions up until 15 weeks of pregnancy.

Majorities of voters across every demographic group said they intended to support the measure. Younger voters and college-educated voters were especially likely to be in favor of it.